Scratch

Nice, do you use any special software for the chart or like excel?

jacool wrote:

Nice, do you use any special software for the chart or like excel?

You are both right.

I use Xcell. It IS DA WORST EVAHHHH



EDIT:

Now I use Excel 2007!

Last edited by illusionist (2009-12-08 09:00:21)

The rate of projects uploaded is ever increasing, so your prediction may be wrong.

illusionist wrote:

floatingmagictree wrote:

The rate of projects uploaded is ever increasing, so your prediction may be wrong.

SO FAR it looks like we will hit 1,000,000 before...

I predict we will hit 1,000,000 before the end of 2010.

We definately need more data.

Only time will tell 

Well it's not like 2000 people are joining Scratch every week. The number will increase more and more every week, but not like 5000 projects one week and 5750 the next.

*Drumroll please*

I have calculated...

That we will reach 1,000,000 projects...

in early December 2010.

What's more, I didn't adjust it for inflation, so it will happen earlier.

I'll look at the patterns and find a more appropriate date.

My calculator showed it would take:

54.729613733905579399141630901288 weeks to do it. Just more than a year.

Notice a pattern here?

It took two years to reach 500,000 and it took 1 year to reach 1,000,000. So it'll take six months to reach 2,000,000 after we reach 1,000,000. The rate is quadrupuling. Probably I'm wrong though.

Last edited by Greatdane (2009-11-22 12:26:24)

The equation of the graph for the first 7 weeks is 7820 x weeks + 550380
and it has a very strong relationship of 0.99998869 out of 1.
So by week 57.4962 there will be 1000000. So it will be between 20-24 december 2010 if the rate of change doesn't increase.

These equations proudly brought to you by my $300 doller caculator 

Last edited by what-the (2009-11-22 21:07:01)

You won't believe this guys...

The rate is decreasing. As my list says:

604688
597465 Difference: 7223
589740 Difference: 7725
581847 Difference: 7893
573953 Difference: 7894
565960 Difference: 7993
557967 Difference: 7993

It's real. It's true. And I proved it.

The number will come down.

Greatdane wrote:

You won't believe this guys...

The rate is decreasing. As my list says:

604688
597465 Difference: 7223
589740 Difference: 7725
581847 Difference: 7893
573953 Difference: 7894
565960 Difference: 7993
557967 Difference: 7993

It's real. It's true. And I proved it.

The number will come down.

Yeah that came up in my calculations but like I said the equation was 7820 x weeks + 550380 even with that in mind and thats why my prediction is in december and not before it. Once there's about 15 weeks of real data and not made up data to fill the spaces, then I could predict the equation with more accuracy but remember all predictions are incorrect unless the relationship is 1 or -1. (but a relationship of 0.9999 like I got is fine to use)

what-the wrote:

These equations proudly brought to you by my $300 doller caculator 

I can do it with my 100 dollar one. Have you thought of a quadratic equation might be a better fit? Probably will once we get more data.

what-the wrote:

TheSaint wrote:

what-the wrote:

These equations proudly brought to you by my $300 doller caculator 

I can do it with my 100 dollar one. Have you thought of a quadratic equation might be a better fit? Probably will once we get more data.

Bow down to my o mighty powerful touch screen caculator that you can play games on and with a screen bigger than the nintendo dsi's, it's awesome.
_____________________________
I did think of a quadratic equation but the linear equation had a relationship of 0.9999 which is almost perfect and a quadratic equation would be something like 0.001

I may not have a touch screen, but my calculator has Super Mario, Pheonix Z, Snake, Mario Level Creator, Fast Tunnel, Avalanche, Connect 4, Boxing, Lotus, and Fall Down