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#26 2011-08-15 05:10:29
Re: Predict the date of the 3 millionth project
Just 1,020,000 projects to go!
Last edited by werdna123 (2011-08-15 05:10:56)
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#27 2011-08-15 07:52:11
Re: Predict the date of the 3 millionth project
jslomba wrote:
April 2013. It took us 4 years to get up to 2,000,000, so I'm thinking a little less than 6 years to get up to 3,000,000 since there are getting to be more and more users (and projects) on scratch.
I'm thinking August 2013, because with the above data, it took us 2 years to get up to 1,000,000. Through, which month did we get to the 2,000,000 goal? It might be that month in 2013.
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#28 2011-08-15 07:54:41
Re: Predict the date of the 3 millionth project
werdna123 wrote:
Just 1,020,000 projects to go!
If you give me how many projects are made in 1 second (the average please), then I can calculate the amount of seconds you would need to get to the goal. Then, we can convert it to days, months, and years.
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#29 2011-08-15 07:57:56
Re: Predict the date of the 3 millionth project
Lar-Rew wrote:
I'd guess Late May 2012: It took 3 or so years (is that right?) to get to a million, then about 1.5 years to go from 1 million to 2 million, so I'm guessing about 9 months to get to 3 million.
Some more data collection to get the right answer: I now think it's early May 2012.
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#31 2011-08-17 03:53:40
Re: Predict the date of the 3 millionth project
rdococ wrote:
werdna123 wrote:
Just 1,020,000 projects to go!
If you give me how many projects are made in 1 second (the average please), then I can calculate the amount of seconds you would need to get to the goal. Then, we can convert it to days, months, and years.
0.75
My guess from when there was that map of projects being uploaded.
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Last edited by scimonster (1970-01-01 00:00:00)
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#32 2011-08-17 04:22:27
Re: Predict the date of the 3 millionth project
16.8 Months from now.
So that's
25th December 2012 + 17 days
3th/4th January 2013
Based on number of projects, the time to get to 2 mill and an increase in growth rate of about 33% every 1 mill projects.
Last edited by what-the (2011-08-17 04:24:16)
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#33 2011-08-17 19:50:15
- CloneCommando1
- Scratcher
- Registered: 2010-12-02
- Posts: 500+
Re: Predict the date of the 3 millionth project
Late 2011-ish for the 2,000,000th project... so maybe mid 2013?
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#35 2011-08-23 19:37:05
- veggieman001
- Scratcher
- Registered: 2010-02-20
- Posts: 1000+
Re: Predict the date of the 3 millionth project
There will be no three millionth project.
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#36 2011-08-23 21:54:39
- SpriteMaster
- Scratcher
- Registered: 2009-01-25
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Re: Predict the date of the 3 millionth project
September 2012
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#37 2011-08-23 21:58:02
Re: Predict the date of the 3 millionth project
December 21st, 2012
Because I can.
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#38 2011-08-24 15:14:32
- ellscharstark
- Scratcher
- Registered: 2010-10-09
- Posts: 100+
Re: Predict the date of the 3 millionth project
The future. Wait... the past.
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