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#51 2009-12-30 07:06:43

markyparky56
Scratcher
Registered: 2008-03-20
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

its only natural for people to be less active at christmas.

But that is quiet a significant drop, wheres our math experts to work out the quadratic equation... thingy.

Last edited by markyparky56 (2009-12-30 07:08:41)


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#52 2009-12-30 08:05:24

what-the
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Registered: 2009-10-04
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

This new data is going to be interesting. I'll use a quadratic equation again
(ax^2 + bx + c)

Old quadratic equation;
number of projects = 117.76785*weeks^2 + 7137.5678*weeks + 566920.7

New (Week Ten) quadratic equation;
number of projects = -58.67*weeks^2 + 8407.53*weeks + 565222.31

We are now losing the number of projects been added. I'll find the maximun amount of projects then.

The maximun amount of projects is going to be 866426 at week 71.65 but remember this data is outside the know data range so it is invalide.

By week 193 there will be no projects on the Scratch website.


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#53 2009-12-30 08:36:38

markyparky56
Scratcher
Registered: 2008-03-20
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

what-the wrote:

This new data is going to be interesting. I'll use a quadratic equation again
(ax^2 + bx + c)

Old quadratic equation;
number of projects = 117.76785*weeks^2 + 7137.5678*weeks + 566920.7

New (Week Ten) quadratic equation;
number of projects = -58.67*weeks^2 + 8407.53*weeks + 565222.31

We are now losing the number of projects been added. I'll find the maximun amount of projects then.

The maximun amount of projects is going to be 866426 at week 71.65 but remember this data is outside the know data range so it is invalide.

By week 193 there will be no projects on the Scratch website.

I think somethings gone wrong there...

By week 193 there will be no projects on the Scratch website.


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#54 2009-12-30 11:30:08

Lucario621
Community Moderator
Registered: 2007-10-03
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

Interesting graph  smile


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#55 2009-12-31 02:18:01

what-the
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Registered: 2009-10-04
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

markyparky56 wrote:

I think somethings gone wrong there...

By week 193 there will be no projects on the Scratch website.

I know it seems strange but that's what the data shows. A decrease of 58.67 projects being added every week. (eg. 1000 projects added one week. 941.33 projects added the next week.) Eventually no projects will be added and because it's a quadratic, more projects will now be taken down than put on the site. Resulting in zero projects on the site before going into the negatives.

Last edited by what-the (2009-12-31 02:18:56)


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#56 2009-12-31 04:36:04

markyparky56
Scratcher
Registered: 2008-03-20
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

Then that means scratch is going to die? i dont think that'll happen that soon. If technology advances, then scratch might die, but probably not. There will always be more people joining, and if people upload projects like mad, e.g. the hamster fans, then that adds a large amount, so scratch isn't likely to do that, its probably just an error because of the slump that happened, nobody and nothing says that its going to keep decreasing. (Except your calculator)


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#57 2010-01-06 09:41:34

markyparky56
Scratcher
Registered: 2008-03-20
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

*bump*


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#58 2010-01-11 11:16:15

markyparky56
Scratcher
Registered: 2008-03-20
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

no updates? Whats has happened for new year week?


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#59 2010-01-11 17:57:17

illusionist_extra
Scratcher
Registered: 2009-01-17
Posts: 78

Re: Number of Projects

markyparky56 wrote:

no updates? Whats has happened for new year week?

Ooops! I recorded but didn't upload.  lol


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#60 2010-01-11 18:15:32

illusionist
Retired Community Moderator
Registered: 2008-07-02
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

Updated! week 11 and 12


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#61 2010-01-12 11:20:34

markyparky56
Scratcher
Registered: 2008-03-20
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

hmmm... no surprise for the spike at new year, probably everyone saying happy new year to everyone else, or new year releases.
I was hoping to release my new game at new year, but i ran into some glitches. Just to say.


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#62 2010-01-17 14:20:06

illusionist
Retired Community Moderator
Registered: 2008-07-02
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

Update! Any new 1,000,000 date predictions?


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#63 2010-01-17 14:30:21

greenflash
Scratcher
Registered: 2009-05-27
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

I bet there's going to be a huge spike all summer long... It's really interesting noticing where and why the spikes appear.

I think the current prediction is pretty close.


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#64 2010-01-17 15:18:25

scmb1
Scratch Team
Registered: 2009-03-19
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

My guess is that we will reach 1,000,000 projects between week 56 and week 57. Of course, that's assuming that the rate stays the same, so probably earlier.

Last edited by scmb1 (2010-01-17 15:24:01)


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#65 2010-01-17 15:54:07

Lucario621
Community Moderator
Registered: 2007-10-03
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

In my perspective, the increasements are going at a slight down-slope, but thats just based on what I can see...


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#66 2010-01-17 16:02:28

Ace-of-Spades
Scratcher
Registered: 2010-01-08
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

Excel is terrible. Use Graphmatica (Google search it).


11110010100011010100011010101000100011011011001010111100101000110101000110101010001000110110110010101111001010001101010001101010100010001101101100101011110010100011010100011010101000100011011011001010
110101010010001010101010101010101010101010100110101010010101010010101001101011010101010010101010101

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#67 2010-01-17 16:20:38

markyparky56
Scratcher
Registered: 2008-03-20
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

Ace-of-Spades wrote:

Excel is terrible. Use Graphmatica (Google search it).

And on what base of fact do you have to argue it is terrible? Excel is not only for making graphs, it is a Spredsheat program, with many other useful features.


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#68 2010-01-17 16:52:50

illusionist
Retired Community Moderator
Registered: 2008-07-02
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

Ace-of-Spades wrote:

Excel is terrible. Use Graphmatica (Google search it).

No.


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#69 2010-01-18 05:27:40

Ace-of-Spades
Scratcher
Registered: 2010-01-08
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

Are you just siding with excel because it came on your computers free? Good news: Graphmatica is free too.


11110010100011010100011010101000100011011011001010111100101000110101000110101010001000110110110010101111001010001101010001101010100010001101101100101011110010100011010100011010101000100011011011001010
110101010010001010101010101010101010101010100110101010010101010010101001101011010101010010101010101

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#70 2010-01-18 09:13:22

BWOG
Scratcher
Registered: 2008-09-19
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

I'll guess September for no reason.

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#71 2010-01-19 20:51:06

illusionist
Retired Community Moderator
Registered: 2008-07-02
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

Ace-of-Spades wrote:

Are you just siding with excel because it came on your computers free? Good news: Graphmatica is free too.

No.


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#72 2010-01-19 21:11:44

cocoanut
Scratcher
Registered: 2007-07-10
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

Ace-of-Spades wrote:

Are you just siding with excel because it came on your computers free? Good news: Graphmatica is free too.

Wikipedia:

"Graphmatica is distributed free of charge for evaluation purposes. After one month, non-commercial users are asked to pay a $25 licensing fee. Other licensing plans are available for commercial users."


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#73 2010-01-19 21:13:28

adriangl
Scratcher
Registered: 2007-07-02
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

cocoanut wrote:

Ace-of-Spades wrote:

Are you just siding with excel because it came on your computers free? Good news: Graphmatica is free too.

Wikipedia:

"Graphmatica is distributed free of charge for evaluation purposes. After one month, non-commercial users are asked to pay a $25 licensing fee. Other licensing plans are available for commercial users."

So not exactly free....

And I don't think it helps that much anyways.


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#74 2010-01-19 22:26:14

illusionist
Retired Community Moderator
Registered: 2008-07-02
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

adriangl wrote:

cocoanut wrote:

Ace-of-Spades wrote:

Are you just siding with excel because it came on your computers free? Good news: Graphmatica is free too.

Wikipedia:

"Graphmatica is distributed free of charge for evaluation purposes. After one month, non-commercial users are asked to pay a $25 licensing fee. Other licensing plans are available for commercial users."

So not exactly free....

And I don't think it helps that much anyways.

Yes!  big_smile

The Excel trial was 90 days!  lol


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#75 2010-01-20 11:28:04

markyparky56
Scratcher
Registered: 2008-03-20
Posts: 1000+

Re: Number of Projects

Iv got Microsoft Office Excel aswell as the rest of the pack.I think my dad has the Disk somewhere, he installs it on all new computers, no idea how much it is ofcourse, but its pretty handy.
Plus Excel isn't just for making charts, its a spreadhseet program, with many other cool and ueful features. I just think that Ace-of-Spades has something against Microsoft, like a whole load of other people.
Ill admit im using Mozila firefox now, but thats just because scratch hates IE8. i prefer IE8/IE7 though, much easier favouriting and history acess.
big_smile


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